Nigeria News: How Will Southwest Go In 2019
Nigeria News take a look at the manoeuvring among political elites towards 2019 general election and where the southwest may fall into.
It is becoming clearer that the six states in the southwest will be more divided along party lines towards 2019 presidential election.
The national leader of the All Progressives Congress, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu is not on the same page with some top members of the party and may revive the Alliance for Democracy to keep his relevance in government in 2019.
Members of the inner caucus of President Muhammadu Buhari are not comfortable with the persona of Tinubu and would prefer that another leader comes from the southwest to represent the interest of the group as the country warms up for another general election on February 16, 2019.
It was gathered that the cabals were planning to use the Governor of Ogun State, Ibikunle Amosun to stir the southwest against Tinubu who is currently romancing the Pan Yoruba social-political group, Afenifere.
The APC was scared when Tinubu visited the leader of Afenifere, Pa Reuben Fasoranti in Akure, Ondo State late last year.
However, Tinubu also had a closed-door meeting with Buhari thereafter, the cabals around the president would not like to work with him.
Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, who happens to be Tinubu’s stooge has been a clog in the wheels of the cabals inside Aso Rock. Osinbajo has debarred them from taking absolute control of governance and might be sacrificed for Buhari’s second term.
Osinbajo has been the reason the Yoruba sympathises with this government. If the vice president were to be from another tribe, this government would have witnessed serious criticism from Yoruba, the most sophisticated of all the ethnic groups in the country.
Sophistication; because the southwest has the power of the media to change the minds of the people against any government and of course to affect the policies of any regime.
Tinubu is sensing the signal and being a logician and proactive person has embarked on new strategies to reinvent the old grand party that launched him into the political limelight, the AD.
Perhaps, Ibikunle may want to pull some weights, it must be noted that the Ogun State Governor could not hold his sway in Ogun, not to talk of the whole southwest.
He relied on the logic and funds from Tinubu to win his second term in office for the APC against the wish of his predecessor Aremo Olusegun Osoba.
Like a Yoruba proverbs, “Olowo lo ni owo”, which means who pays the piper dictates the tone. The battle for the soul of the southwest in 2019 will not only depend on the gang up against Tinubu but will also be defined by who has the guts to bankroll the election.
Unlike Tinubu, none of those working for Buhari in the region has political structure or stamina to spend money when it comes to investing in an election. Nigeria’s election for now largely depends on how much the political elites will be ready to throw around for the masses who have been starved in the last two years.
Some political analysts said that Tinubu would be demystified just as they did to him in the last Ondo State gubernatorial election where his candidate Olusola Oke lost to the current Governor Rotimi Akeredolu.
Tinubu had since mended the fence with Akeredolu but who knows that his friendship with his former political son is another logic to know his strength and find a way to beat him later.
If at all, APC would win in Ogun state, which is not 100 percent sure and Ondo State, which is also not 100 percent guaranteed with Amosun leading the campaign, Lagos, Osun and Oyo states look more like Tinubu’s stronghold at present.
Ekiti State is a no-go area for APC at present, Governor Ayo Fayose will be ready to fight it out pounds for pounds against any party at the fountain of knowledge.