2019 Elections: The Permutation Continues

Nigeria News – 2019 Elections: The Permutation Continues

There will be more defections in the major political parties ahead of the 2019 general election.

Many of the politicians that will cross carpet will come from the north and eastern Nigeria and this is because of the new forces that just emerged from the region.

The emergence of the former Vice President Atiku Abubakar as the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party is a strong force that has the backing of many retired military brass that are no more comfortable with the present administration of President Muhammadu Buhari.

Truth must be told, Nigeria political space is still under the control of retired soldiers, most of whom now camouflage in ‘Babariga and Agbada”.

That is why former President Olusegun Obasanjo is indelibly relevant in the calculation. Last week, he hosted Atiku and addressed him as the President to be.

Atiku’s endorsement by Obasanjo is more than the vote that the former president will cast in 2019 but the string that he will pull for his former vice to realise his dream.

And in doing this, Obasanjo will make calls and moves to see those that matter in the military caucus and of course the business tycoons and politicians on how to help Atiku achieve his presidential mission.

Becoming Nigerian President goes beyond getting the votes of the masses on social media, there are a lot of interests, which must be carried along before the actual voting.

The Permutation is in top gear now and as events unfold, politicians whose agenda may not sail or the future of his party looks dicey may take a dive to another party.

This will happen more in the North and East as I have said. There are powers in the North that are gradually tilting towards the new force.

Their slogan is “Buhari has tried on fighting corruption, let us see another person that can fight poverty”

This slogan is a signal that those who supported Buhari in 2015 may have found a new bride in Atiku.

As a matter of fact, Buhari and Atiku are northerners of Fulani ethnic group. And as it stands now, if Buhari should win, the northerner has only four years to rule to complete his second term in office.

On the other hand, if Atiku should win, it means that presidency may remain in the North for another eight years.

This is an option the political bigwigs in the North are also considering that may make them align with Atiku.

In the East, despite the early disagreement among the Igbos over the choice of the former Governor of Anambra State, Peter Obi as Atiku’s running mate, the southeastern people have unanimously agreed to give their support to the duo.

Besides the late Dr Alex Ekweme, no Igbo man was ever elected as a vice president in Nigeria.

Atiku/Obi is an opportunity for this aggrieved ethnic group to lead the country at the vice presidential level.

And how to achieve this is by appealing to some of their clans who had crossed to the All Progressives Congress to retrace their steps to the PDP.

This does not mean that APC will win the highest votes in Southwest because of Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, the present political intrigues will divide the region along party line.

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Sunday AKINFENWA

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